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DUBAI/RIYADH (Reuters) - Saudi Arabia’s decision to shelve what was billed as the biggest share sale ever is a major blow to the credibility of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman but there are other ways to finance reforms to strengthen the economy, bankers and investors say. The initial public offering (IPO) of 5 percent of state-owned oil giant Saudi Aramco was a centrepiece of the crown prince’s plan to diversify the kingdom’s economy beyond oil by raising $100 billion for investment in other sectors.
(GRAPHIC: Saudi finances and oil price - tmsnrt.rs/2qaFbqM), The 32-year-old ruler, widely known as MbS, also promised that listing Saudi Aramco on international stock markets would help create a culture of openness in the secretive kingdom and make it more appealing to foreign investors, sterling round scroll with carnelian stone cufflinks (GRAPHIC: Saudi economic growth - tmsnrt.rs/2eU10F9), The decision to shelve the IPO raises doubts about the management of the process as well as the broader reform agenda, sapping the momentum generated by Prince Mohammed’s dramatic 2030 Vision announcement in 2016 that helped propel him to power in the world’s top oil exporter..
'The problem is: the more it gets delayed and the more there's not clarity on why it's getting delayed and what the issues are, the more it undermines confidence,' said James Dorsey, a senior fellow at Singapore's S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS www.rsis.edu.sg). “He’s been very good at creating expectations but not as good at managing expectations,” said Dorsey. Industry sources told Reuters this week that both the international and domestic legs of the IPO had been postponed indefinitely. Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said the government remained committed to conducting the IPO at an unspecified date in the future.
'The reform sterling round scroll with carnelian stone cufflinks process has to be judged on its entirety and over a period of years but this will negatively affect perceptions of its credibility overall, considering that the IPO was promised in such high-profile terms,' said Richard Segal, senior analyst at Manulife Asset Management www.manulifeam.com in London, Prince Mohammed launched his Vision 2030 program with promises to fundamentally transform Saudi Arabia’s economy and open up its people’s cloistered lifestyles, He has implemented a series of high-profile reforms, including ending a ban on women driving and opening cinemas in the conservative kingdom..
But those moves have been accompanied by a harsh crackdown on dissent, a purge of top royals and businessmen on corruption charges, and a costly war in Yemen now in its fourth year. The crown prince’s increasingly aggressive stance towards arch-rival Iran and in relations with supposed friends such as Canada and Germany has unnerved allies and investors alike. “The Aramco IPO was supposed to be an example of a new global level of transparency. Perhaps because there’s so much going on and so little explained, it looks like they’ve gotten worse at transparency,” said a former senior Western diplomat.
But some bankers said the reform program was far bigger than the Aramco IPO and, despite the possible political fallout, many changes could still go ahead, or even accelerate, now that senior officials are no longer preoccupied by listing Aramco, “The reality is there is a lot of other stuff that the sterling round scroll with carnelian stone cufflinks authorities could do before doing this huge move of the Aramco IPO,” said a senior banker whose institution pitched to help arrange the sale, Riyadh’s circumstances have improved greatly since plans for the IPO were first announced in 2016..
Oil was about $35 a barrel at the time and the government was desperate for cash. Oil prices have more than doubled since and the state budget deficit has narrowed sharply, so Riyadh has more room to find other ways to finance projects. MSCI and FTSE Russell decided this year to add Saudi Arabia to their emerging market equity indexes, so even without the IPO the kingdom can expect an inflow of $20 billion or more of foreign funds next year. Meanwhile, the authorities are proceeding, slowly, with other reforms to attract foreign direct investment (FDI).
In July, Riyadh published draft rules for partnerships between the state and private firms to build infrastructure, Last week, the kingdom’s water utility said it was talking to international companies about involving them in water distribution and treatment, In addition to Aramco, authorities have said they aim to sell another $200 billion worth of state assets in the coming years, While many analysts say this looks ambitious, freezing the sterling round scroll with carnelian stone cufflinks Aramco IPO may clear the way for smaller sales to go ahead..
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