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But managing such trade-offs is well in the future and so far trade policy tensions have hardly made a dent in the economic outlook. When Powell speaks Friday at an annual global central bankers meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Trump’s comments may prompt some uncomfortable questions, “but do not alter the economic backdrop or Fed policy going forward,” economists for RBC Capital Markets wrote Tuesday. Beyond criticizing the Fed for raising rates, there’s little Trump can do about it. The president does choose members of the policy-setting Fed Board, and in addition to Powell, he has appointed one Fed governor and nominated three others. None appears to be particularly eager to loosen monetary policy.
“I take comfort from Trump’s nominations so far,” said James McCann, senior global economist for Aberdeen Standard Investments, There are a total of seven governors on the Fed Board, all of whom have a vote on setting interest rates, and Trump still cool car cufflinks has one remaining vacancy to fill should his current slate of nominees win approval from the Senate, Trump has no say over the choice of the 12 regional Fed presidents like the Dallas Fed’s Kaplan, Five of them vote on setting policy at each meeting with voting assignments rotated on an annual basis..
Beyond Trump’s fiscal and trade policies, there is plenty that the Fed will need to factor in as it makes rate-hike decisions, including the state of the global economy and financial markets. Already, tighter U.S monetary policy has contributed to strain in emerging markets like Turkey, and any disruption overseas could potentially feed back into U.S. financial markets and ultimately the country’s growth trajectory. And a narrow gap between short-term and long-term U.S. Treasury debt yields has the attention of several Fed policymakers as a signal that growth is set to slow, and further rate hikes could trigger a recession.
Most policymakers believe the Fed cannot raise rates much beyond 2.9 percent, a level they see as “neutral” for the economy, without borrowing costs really beginning to drag on growth, “It’s likely that in either December or March the Fed will pause the rate hikes, not because of Trump’s pressure but because it would be the right thing to do, with the funds rate approaching neutral and still likely no inflation threat,” said Cornerstone Macro economist Roberto Perli, “One might be tempted to think cool car cufflinks that all the President is doing is positioning himself for taking credit for the eventual inevitable pause.”..
NEW YORK (Reuters) - The benchmark S&P 500 touched a record high on Tuesday and equaled its longest-ever bull-market run, buoyed by strong earnings reports in the consumer sector and relative calm in the trade dispute between the United States and China. The S&P 500 .SPX rose as much as 0.6 percent to a record intraday high of 2,873.23 points, topping its previous record high of 2,872.87 on Jan. 26, though it closed below both those marks. Late in the day, stock market futures fell after U.S. President Donald Trump’s former personal lawyer, Michael Cohen, pleaded guilty to campaign finance violations and other charges, saying he made payments to influence the 2016 election at the direction of a candidate for federal office.
“The stock market loves the Trump agenda, Anything that’s damaging cool car cufflinks to Donald Trump’s agenda is not going to be good for the stock market,” said Stephen Massoca, Senior Vice President at Wedbush Securities in San Francisco, The index’s bull-market run is now 3,452 days old and on Wednesday would become the longest such streak in history, at least for some market watchers, Trade-sensitive industrial stocks rose for the fourth consecutive session as investors remained optimistic the United States and China could move closer to settling their trade dispute, The S&P 500 industrial index .SPLRCI rose 0.8 percent..
The S&P consumer discretionary index .SPLRCD climbed 0.9 percent as shares of off-price retailer TJX Companies Inc (TJX.N) rose on strong results and Toll Brothers Inc’s (TOL.N) encouraging quarterly report boosted shares of homebuilders. “We’ve got good momentum, which is fundamentally justified by the strong economy and better earnings,” said Kevin Caron, senior portfolio manager at Washington Crossing Advisors in Florham Park, New Jersey. “Investors still seem relatively optimistic about growth, and you’re seeing that expressed in the market today.”.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 63.6 points, or 0.25 percent, to 25,822.29, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 5.91 points, or 0.21 percent, to cool car cufflinks 2,862.96 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 38.17 points, or 0.49 percent, to 7,859.17, The small-cap Russell 2000 index , which is less affected by global tariff disputes than its large-cap peers, ended the session up 1.1 percent at a record closing high, The S&P 500 energy index .SPNY rose 0.5 percent and the S&P 500 materials index .SPLRCM gained 0.4 percent, in tandem with higher prices for oil and metals..