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NEW YORK (Reuters) - President Donald Trump has repeatedly called for a weaker U.S. dollar in a bid to help U.S. exporters, but his recent trade policies, including the imposition of import tariffs on some Turkish goods, have had the opposite effect of strengthening the greenback. The dollar this week rose to a 13-month high against a basket of currencies, getting an extra boost as emerging markets have sold off on concern about contagion from Turkey and investors sought a safehaven in the U.S. currency.
On August 10, Trump intensified the spat with Turkey over the detention in Turkey of U.S, evangelical pastor Andrew Brunson on terrorism charges by imposing higher tariffs on metal imports, The move sent the Turkish lira to a record low against the dollar and spurred declines in other emerging market currencies, GRAPHIC: Turkish lira vs U.S, dollar - reut.rs/2vMLlPD, The U.S, dollar has risen against major currencies for several months, with the dollar index .DXY up nearly 8 percent over batman etched onyx cufflinks the last four months, On Wednesday, the index hit a fresh 13-month high..
“In a lot of ways some of his actions have amplified this risk-off type of environment, which has ultimately helped the U.S. dollar strengthen in the near-term,” said Charles Tomes, senior investment analyst and trader at Manulife Asset Management in Boston. GRAPHIC: President Trump on U.S. dollar - reut.rs/2P971NE. Robust U.S. economic data this year, even as Europe and other major economies have lost some steam, has helped keep the U.S. Federal Reserve on track to raise interest rates twice more this year, which should boost the appeal of the dollar further.
“I think the dollar is strengthening as a result of diverging monetary policies,” said Oliver Pursche, Chief Market Strategist Of Bruderman Brothers In New York, “It’s fairly clear that the Fed is almost certain to hike in September and very likely to hike in December again, whereas other central banks are maintaining a status quo.”, Some analysts said that U.S, tax cuts passed last year by Congress which are boosting corporate earnings and economic batman etched onyx cufflinks growth have reinforced the reasons for raising interest rates, The $1.5 trillion tax cut and the $1.3 trillion spending bill enacted in March, have pushed forecasts for the fiscal deficit higher, The U.S, economy grew at its fastest pace in nearly four years in the second quarter..
“So now you have economic data warranting the Fed rate hiking cycle and expectations for other central banks pushed out a little bit,” said Tomes. The administration’s move to impose import tariffs against China, Europe, Mexico and Canada is also expected to contribute to inflation, which tends to ramp up bets on a swifter pace of Fed rate hikes and, in turn, a stronger dollar. Investors have also shown a preference for the greenback based on the expectation that the it will gain at the expense of emerging market currencies which are dependent on commodity exports.
GRAPHIC: Emerging market currencies in 2018 - reut.rs/2vMwAMJ, “When the dollar turned in the second quarter we had a really weak EM market,” Said Haidar, founder and chief investment officer, at New York hedge fund Haidar Capital Management, said, “You now have another huge selloff in EM, which has been exacerbated by Trump’s willingness to jam on more and more sanctions when batman etched onyx cufflinks countries are having trouble in the market – like adding to the sanctions on Turkey,” Haidar said..
NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks and emerging market currencies rebounded on Thursday after China said it will hold trade talks with the United States this month and Turkey’s lira continued its recovery. China said that a delegation led by its vice commerce minister would travel to the United States for talks on Aug. 21 and 22, raising hopes that Beijing and Washington may resolve the escalating tariff war that has roiled financial markets since early March. The Chinese yuan recovered from its weakest level since January 2017, and the dollar moved slightly lower.
“The news of China coming back to the negotiating table is providing relief and you are starting to see markets stabilize a little bit,” said Shawn Cruz, manager of trader strategy at TD Ameritrade in Chicago, The Turkish lira built upon Wednesday’s gains, when Qatar pledged to invest $15 billion in Turkey, Other emerging market currencies, such as Brazil’s real and Mexico’s peso, also rose, The Turkish lira TRY= rose 2.9 percent to 5.7941 per dollar, On Thursday, Turkish Finance Minister Berat Albayrak assured international investors on a conference call that the country would emerge stronger from its currency crisis and batman etched onyx cufflinks that its banks were healthy..
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