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Strategists have previously said corporate earnings growth should be a result of capital business expenditure and not the current trend of stock buybacks. Nearly half of 66 strategists who answered a separate question said the switch from share buybacks to substantial business investment is not likely to happen anytime soon. Only five said it would happen this year, 18 said it would happen next year and 11 said in 2020. “We maintain that there is clear evidence that funds originally earmarked for capital investment are being redirected to share buybacks, and that this trend is likely to continue for so long as geopolitical and trade-related uncertainties remain elevated,” noted Robert Phipps, chief investment officer at Per Stirling Capital Management.
“Companies know that they can boost earnings per share by reducing the number of shares outstanding, However, they are unlikely to make long-term capital investments for so long as there is so much uncertainty - particularly trade-related uncertainty - on a global basis.”, In other words, for the U.S, at least, that means sterling silver functional nuts & bolts cuff links cufflinks that whatever boost to business investment might have been in store from huge corporate tax cuts passed by Congress last year are likely to be offset by the Trump Administration’s escalating trade war with China..
When asked, respondents were split on their latest outlook for world stocks compared to the beginning of 2018. Thirty-eight of 82 strategists said they were more bearish and 37 were more bullish. The remaining seven said they had not changed their view. Wall Street’s longest-ever bull run - as measured by the Standard & Poor’s 500 - is set to slow its charge to end the year around current levels as earnings growth slows sharply, which will also temper any advance next year. [EPOLL/US].
The risk that Britain leaves the European Union with no deal means that for the near-term at least, Britain’s FTSE 100 will lag its peers, [EPOLL/GB], European shares are set to partly recover in the remaining few months this year but aren’t likely to push past January highs, sterling silver functional nuts & bolts cuff links cufflinks ending the year with a meager gain and with weak momentum running into 2019, [EPOLL/EU], While emerging market stocks have taken a beating this year, they were expected to outperform developed countries shares by the end of next year on hopes the trade war will cool off..
Slightly more than half, 28 of 54 respondents who answered a separate question, said it will be more than a year before investors turn in favor of emerging market stocks. Twenty-three said it will take anywhere between three months and a year. Only three respondents said it could be within the next three months. India’s BSE Sensex Index, which has gone against the trend and gained nearly 14 percent this year, was forecast to set a new record high by year-end despite being rated expensive with plenty of downside risks still in play. [EPOLL/IN].
LONDON (Reuters) - Investors returning from their summer holidays in the coming days are likely to feel a distinct chill in the air as they assess the world economy, Growth globally of about 4 percent this year has raised hopes sterling silver functional nuts & bolts cuff links cufflinks that the hangover of the financial crisis has finally lifted, a full 10 years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers, But President Donald Trump’s relentless “America First” trade push is hurting confidence in many countries, rising U.S, interest rates are putting strains on emerging economies and currency problems have hit crisis levels in Argentina and Turkey..
Economic data over the coming days is likely to show how the increase in protectionism is affecting Asia and Europe, and the worries about trade could grow soon. The Trump administration will take a step toward escalating its trade battle with China on Wednesday when it ends consultations on hitting a further $200 billion worth of Chinese goods with tariffs. In Britain, lawmakers will return to parliament with many from the ruling Conservative Party determined to force Prime Minister Theresa May to rework her plans for Brexit, just as talks with Brussels hit their crunch point.
Lucy O’Carroll, chief economist at Aberdeen Standard Investments, said her firm has trimmed its forecasts and now expects global economic growth to slow to 3.2 percent by 2020 from 3.8 percent this year, That will reduce the need for central banks of the rich economies to raise interest rates, By contrast their peers in emerging markets will be under pressure to raise rates to stop capital flowing abroad and to shore up their currencies, possibly aggravating the uneven pattern of sterling silver functional nuts & bolts cuff links cufflinks economic growth around the world..
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