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With little sign of compromise in the trade talks, most market watchers had predicted it was only a matter of time before the yuan tested the closely watched and psychologically important support level of 7 to the dollar. The PBOC’s move “validates our views that yuan devaluation is not a weapon of the trade war,” Mizuho Bank analysts said in a note. “It also resonates with our ‘7-3’ stability threshold hypothesis, which refers to not breaching 7 for dollar-yuan and FX reserves not falling below $3 trillion.”.
Prior to round cufflinks with purple glass the market opening on Monday, the PBOC lifted its official yuan midpoint CNY=PBOC more than expected to 6.8508 per dollar, 202 pips, or 0.3 percent, firmer than the previous fix of 6.8710 on Friday, The guidance rate was 127 pips higher than Reuters’ estimate of 6.8635 per dollar, The currency firmed initially in spot trade before swinging between gains and losses, The offshore counterpart CNH=D3 rose to a high of 6.7818, its strongest since July 31, It traded at 6.8047 as of 0830 GMT..
Traders said the policy move had triggered some dollar selling since Friday night, but gains in the Chinese currency were capped by bargain hunting for cheaper dollars on Monday as many saw strong resistance at 6.8 per dollar for now. The PBOC introduced the “X” factor in May 2017 when the yuan was firming against a weaker dollar. But Goldman Sachs said it has been used in both direction at various times: to slow yuan gains and to curb yuan losses. Traders suspect the PBOC may already have been testing the waters in recent weeks for a re-activation of the measure as the dollar continued to climb. It was last believed to have been used early this year, when the yuan was firming.
U.S, policymakers look set to continue raising interest round cufflinks with purple glass rates well into next year, supporting the dollar for a while longer, while China recently started shifting to easier conditions to shore up slowing economic growth, “How the factor works per se is much less important than the clear signal sent by the PBOC that it would defend 7.0 at least in the next couple of months,” said Larry Hu, head of greater China economics at Macquarie in Hong Kong, The yuan had appreciated rapidly in the six months after the counter-cyclical factor was first introduced, Hu said..
LONDON (Reuters) - Germany-listed shares in Tesla TSLA.TG fell more than 3 percent in early deals on the Tradegate exchange on Monday, after Chief Executive Elon Musk called off his bid to take the company private. Musk said late on Friday he would heed shareholder concerns and no longer pursue a $72 billion deal to take the luxury electric carmaker private, abandoning an idea that stunned investors and drew regulatory scrutiny. Tesla (TSLA.O) shares have been trading well below their level on Aug. 7 when they rallied after Musk announced on Twitter he was considering taking Tesla private for $420 a share, saying funding for the deal was “secured”.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Mexico’s Economy Minister Ildefonso Guajardo said on Sunday evening that bilateral negotiations with the United States over the future of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) were advancing and that talks would continue on Monday, Speaking after a day round cufflinks with purple glass of Mexico-U.S, discussions at the offices of U.S, Trade Representative (USTR) Robert Lighthizer, Guajardo said he now had to consult with business leaders, Mexican officials would return to Lighthizer’s offices on Monday at 9 a.m, local time in Washington, the minister said..
JACKSON HOLE, Wyo. (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has begun putting his stamp on the U.S. central bank as someone who will rely more on data-informed judgment and less on some of the models and theoretical values that have shaped the Fed’s course in recent years but that Powell has said can be false guides. In doing so he may be laying the groundwork for a longer-than-expected rate-increase cycle, as discussion intensifies among policymakers about what level of borrowing costs is appropriate in an economy that is nearly back to full health. In addition, the full stimulative effects of President Donald Trump’s tax cuts and increased government spending may not yet have presented themselves.
On the other hand, while the drag that many businesses fear could result from uncertain trade policy has round cufflinks with purple glass not materialized, if it does it could force an earlier end to the Fed’s rate-hike cycle, Such two-way concerns are unfamiliar territory for a Fed that under Powell’s immediate predecessors had to focus mostly on just one kind of risk: too-low inflation and sub-par growth, Now, with unemployment at 3.9 percent - below what most economists believe is sustainable — and inflation near the Fed’s 2 percent goal, the economic terrain looks less fragile..
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